Tam sim no Crude Oil Market Situation (Tsib Hlis 2026)
1. Tam sim no Crude Oil Market Situation (Tsib Hlis 2026)
Nyob rau lub asthiv tsis ntev los no, cov roj av thoob ntiaj teb tau pomluv-lub sij hawm volatility thiab ib tug me ntsis pullbacktom qab muaj kev sib tw ntse ua ntej lub xyoo no.
Brent crude: ib ncig$105–107/bbl
WTI crude: ib ncig$101–103/bbl
Txawm hais tias qhov kev kho ib ntus no, kev lag luam tseem nyob ruaj khov thiab muaj kev pheej hmoo siab -:
Lub Strait ntawm Hormuz (25% ntawm lub ntiaj teb no seaborne kev lag luam roj) tseem nyob rau hauv geopolitical cuam tshuam, txwv tsis pub mov.
Cov khoom lag luam roj thoob ntiaj teb yog nyob rau ntau- xyoo qis, ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam me me yog tias muaj kev ntxhov siab ntxiv duaIEA.
Feem ntau cov kws tshuaj ntsuam tseem cia siab tias tus nqi nruab nrab siab dua hauv Q2–Q3 2026 piv rau xyoo tas los.
Hauv luv luv: Qhov kev poob qis tsis ntev los no yog kev kho cov txheej txheem, tsis yog kev thim rov qab.
Vim li cas Nonwoven Raw Khoom Nqis nce (txawm tias Crude rub rov qab)
Nonwovens (qhov ncauj qhov ntswg, kaus mom bouffant, khau npog) cia siab rau PP (polypropylene) thiab polyester - ob qho tib si ncaj qha roj derivatives. Tus nqi saw yog: Crude → Naphtha → PP / Polyester → Nonwoven Fabric → Cov khoom tiav
Muaj lub sijhawm pom tseeb (2-3 lub hlis) los ntawm kev txav mus los rau cov nqi qis qis. Yog vim li ntawd:
Crude nce siab heev txij Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2025 txog Lub Plaub Hlis 2026 → PP / fiber ntau cov nqi tau nce siab hauv lub Peb Hlis-Tsib Hlis 2026.
Qhov kev kho me me tsis ntev los no tseem tsis tau mus txog theem tsis muaj ntaub ntawv thiab tsis tuaj yeem them tus nqi ua ntej nce.
Cov laj thawj ntxiv rau cov khoom siv raw tam sim no:
Kev cuam tshuam cov saw hlau cuam tshuam los ntawm Middle East tensions ua rau freight & feedstock premiums siab.
Tsawg cov khoom muag thoob plaws cov saw tsis-woven; mills tsis oversupplied, yog li cov nqi nyob ruaj khov.
Kev thov kho mob thoob ntiaj teb / kev nyiam huv (Africa, South Asia, Latin America) tseem nyob ruaj khov, txhawb nqa tus nqi.
Raws li cov chaw tsim khoom, peb cov nqi tau nce rau peb lub hauv ntej:
Cov khoom nyoos: PP & nonwoven fiber ntau20–30%txij thaum ntxov 2026.
Zog & kev siv hluav taws xob: Tseem nce siab vim cov nqi roj / roj siab.
Logistics & ntim: Cov nqi thauj khoom thiab ntim yas tseem nyob siab.
Peb tau nqus ib feem ntawm tus nqi sab hauv kom tus nqi ruaj khov ntev li ntev tau. Txawm li cas los xij, qhov nce ntxiv tau nthuav tawm cov npoo mus rau qib tseem ceeb.Peb qhov kev hloov kho tus nqi yog qhov tsim nyog los tswj xyuas qhov zoo thiab txhim khu kev qha.
Peb Cov Lus Qhia - Ua Thaum ntxov kom ruaj ntseg muab khoom & nqi
Peb nkag siab txog kev kho tus nqi yuav tsum tau ua tib zoo npaj rau koj. Raws li kev lag luam tam sim no:
✅ Muab xaj kom sai li sai tautxhawm rau kaw cov nqi tam sim no.
✅ Xavtsim nyog kev ruaj ntseg Tshuagrau koj qhov zoo tshaj plaws -muag SKUs (nonwoven masks, bouffant caps, khau npog).
✅ Peb npaj muabtus nqi ruaj khov rau kev txiav txim siab ntauthiab txhawb koj lub quarter/ib nrab- xyoo kev npaj yuav khoom.
Daim ntawv kawg:Peb tus nqi nce yogkev xav txog cov nqi lag luam tiag, tsis arbitrary markup. Peb tseem mob siab rauzoo ib yam, ntawm - lub sij hawm xa tuaj, thiab kev koom tes ntev -nrog koj.